Poll Analyst
olivia@overtoninsights.com
Each episode will feature Mark Cunningham, Overton Insights’ Poll Director, and Michael Melendez, founder and pollster at Tactical Campaigns. The Polling Alley is hosted by Olivia Michiels, Poll Analyst at Overton Insights.
Together, they open the first episode with a discussion many listeners have been eager to hear: What do prediction markets mean for traditional polling?
Using the 2024 presidential election as a real-world example, they walk through where polls captured voter sentiment accurately, where prediction markets diverged, and what each tool can and can’t tell us about electoral outcomes.
The episode then examines whether the 2025 government shutdown had any measurable impact on elections. Mark and Michael explore how events like this register amid an already tumultuous political environment.
Finally, the trio turns to an interesting finding from Overton Insights’ latest poll: the rise of the politically homeless, a growing portion of Americans who say neither major party represents them. They discuss what’s driving this sentiment, which groups feel it most strongly, and what it might signal for future political engagement.
Episode 1 is now live. Tune in for accessible analysis and thoughtful conversation from the Overton Insights team.
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