The July Overton Insights poll examines voter opinions on hypothetical political matchups including a 2028 Vance-Harris presidential election, concerns about Artificial Intelligence chatbots, and "political homelessness." The survey also explores Regulatory Sandbox laws, building AI data centers, and corruption in college sports.
Political Polling:
July 2025
In the 2028 Republican primary, Donald Trump Jr. is gaining ground. While Vice President J.D. Vance still leads with 32% support, he is followed by Don Jr. with a significant 26% of the vote. Further behind, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis comes in at 11%, Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 9%, and Former U.S. Ambassador Nikki Haley at 7%.
Thinking ahead to the 2028 Republican primary election for President, if that election were held today who would you vote for?
444 Republican primary voters | +/- 2.77% MOE
For the 2028 Democratic primary, Kamala Harris leads with 38%, followed by Pete Buttigieg at 11% and Gavin Newsom at 10%; AOC, Josh Shapiro, and Tim Walz tied at 7%. Trailing behind are Gretchen Whitmer with 5%, Cory Booker at 4%.
Thinking ahead to the 2028 Democratic primary election for President, if that election were held today who would you vote for?
396 Democratic primary voters | +/- 2.77% MOE
In a head-to-head 2028 presidential matchup, Kamala Harris leads Vice President J.D. Vance by 3 points (45% to 42%).
In a 2024 rematch, Trump maintains a narrow 3-point lead over Harris (46% to 43%).
If the 2024 election were held again today, who would you vote for?
1,200 registered voters | +/- 2.77% MOE
No Data Found
In a hypothetical 2028 presidential matchup with former NBA Star Charles Barkley as the Democratic nominee, J.D. Vance leads Barkley by 9 points (43% to 34%).
Celebrities Joe Rogan, a comedian and podcaster, and Dave Portnoy, founder of Barstool Sports, don’t fare well against Vance in a hypothetical Republican primary. Vance crushes the field with 74% of the vote while Rogan receives only 8%, and Portnoy receives only 3%.
When it comes to political party corruption, voters are divided: 32% say Republicans are more corrupt, 30% believe Democrats are more corrupt, and 30% think both parties are equally corrupt. Surprisingly, 14% of Republicans and 15% of Democrats believe their own party is the most corrupt regarding misusing public funds or abusing public power.
In your opinion, which political party is more corrupt when it comes to misusing public funds or abusing public power?
1,200 registered voters | +/- 2.77% MOE
No Data Found
More than one-third of voters (34%) describe themselves as feeling “politically homeless,” not represented by either major party, while nearly half (49%) do feel represented by either Democrats or Republicans.
Public Policy Polling:
July 2025
Some companies have developed AI chatbots designed to simulate emotional conversations and serve as companions for users, sometimes even forming romantic or deeply personal relationships with them. From a privacy standpoint, the vast majority of voters (78%) are concerned that this type of interaction could result in sensitive personal information being misused or exposed in the future. Only 17% of voters are not concerned about this.
Voters are split on whether or not to support building new data centers for artificial intelligence in their community. 36% are in support of this effort while 46% oppose it. However, among those who support this development, more than two-thirds (69%) would still back building data centers nearby even if tax incentives or subsidies had to be offered to AI companies. Only 23% would oppose building data centers if it required additional incentives.
In general, would you support or oppose building new data centers for Artificial Intelligence in your community?
1,200 registered voters | +/- 2.77% MOE
No Data Found
Would you still support building them in your community if it required offering tax incentives or subsidies to attract them?
456 registered voters | +/- 2.77% MOE
No Data Found
Voters support “Regulatory Sandbox” laws that would allow states to temporarily waive certain regulations so companies can test innovations under close government oversight, giving regulators time to better understand emerging technologies before determining how they should be governed. “Regulatory Sandboxes” are supported by 44% of voter, with 33% opposing it, though nearly a quarter (24%) remain unsure. Half of all Republicans support this policy (51% support, 28% oppose). Independents are closely split with 36% support and 38% opposition.
Public Opinion Polling:
July 2025
The majority of voters (59%) oppose replacing “The Star-Spangled Banner” with “America the Beautiful” as the national anthem. Another 21% of voters support this idea, while 20% remain unsure.
Do you support replacing "The Star-Spangled Banner" with "America the Beautiful" as the National Anthem?
1,200 registered voters | +/- 2.77% MOE
No Data Found
Do you support replacing "The Star-Spangled Banner" with "America the Beautiful" as the National Anthem?
1,200 registered voters | +/- 2.77% MOE
No Data Found
Nearly half of all voters (48%) express trust in major professional sports leagues like the NBA and NFL to prevent game manipulation and point-shaving, but 42% lack confidence in these same institutions.
When it comes to corruption in college sports, such as academic fraud, recruitment violations, or bribery, the vast majority of voters (73%) believe corruption is a serious problem, while only 17% don’t see it as such.
- Poll of 1,200 registered voters nationwide
- Only respondents who passed our data quality checks were included in the final results and compensated for participating
- Sampling was stratified by demographics and geography
- Results were weighted by demographics, party, geography, and behavioral measures to reflect the profile of the state properly
- Estimated Margin of error: +/- 2.77%
- Fieldwork: June 23 to June 26, 2025
- Due to weighting and rounding, percentages may not always total exactly 100%
