
Could Platner Win? Plus: Does Who Pays for a Poll Matter? The Polling Alley: Episode 5 Recap
In this episode, the team discusses Platner’s recent polling boost in Maine, a new TX GOP runoff poll, a “push-poll” on prediction markets, and Spencer
Poll Analyst
olivia@overtoninsights.com
Each episode will feature Mark Cunningham, Overton Insights’ Poll Director, and Michael Melendez, founder and pollster at Tactical Campaigns. The Polling Alley is hosted by Olivia Michiels, Poll Analyst at Overton Insights.
Together, they open the first episode with a discussion many listeners have been eager to hear: What do prediction markets mean for traditional polling?
Using the 2024 presidential election as a real-world example, they walk through where polls captured voter sentiment accurately, where prediction markets diverged, and what each tool can and can’t tell us about electoral outcomes.
The episode then examines whether the 2025 government shutdown had any measurable impact on elections. Mark and Michael explore how events like this register amid an already tumultuous political environment.
Finally, the trio turns to an interesting finding from Overton Insights’ latest poll: the rise of the politically homeless, a growing portion of Americans who say neither major party represents them. They discuss what’s driving this sentiment, which groups feel it most strongly, and what it might signal for future political engagement.
Episode 1 is now live. Tune in for accessible analysis and thoughtful conversation from the Overton Insights team.
Subscribe to @OvertonInsights on Youtube to watch the latest episodes as soon as they drop!

In this episode, the team discusses Platner’s recent polling boost in Maine, a new TX GOP runoff poll, a “push-poll” on prediction markets, and Spencer

In this episode, the team discusses Texas Senate primary results, a new Florida governor’s race poll, rapid-fire Iran favorability data, and a provocative article about

In this episode, the team discusses upcoming Texas Senate primaries, voter sentiment towards Economic Fairness, and results from our latest Overton Inights poll.

Utah voters have mixed opinions on sports franchise growth and changes, the 2034 Olympic logo, and the Secret Lives of Mormon Wives reality tv show

In this episode, the team discusses prediction markets, a surprisingly tight Ohio governor race, and what recent local elections reveal about the national political mood.

No clear leader exists within the Democratic Party, according to voters in the latest Overton Insights poll. How do politically homeless sentiments intertwine with this
Stay informed with the most up-to-date insights on public opinion. Be the first to know about shifting trends and key findings that matter to you.